16/10/2024·10 mins to read
Expanding Horizons 2024: M&A survey reveals strong foreign investor interest in Aotearoa
Today we release our sixth M&A report surveying offshore investors’ attitudes towards New Zealand.
Our Expanding Horizons 2024: Offshore perspectives on investment into New Zealand report, canvassed 90 international investors who have previously completed a deal in Aotearoa.
Corporate Partner, James Hawes, says: "This year's survey represents a welcome vote of confidence from international investors and bodes well for a continued pick up in M&A activity in New Zealand.
“It has been a tough year for our local economy with GDP contracting and inflation staying high, but the 2025 outlook appears rosier: the flat local economy has created favourable investment conditions, meaning we’re expecting to see a return to growth.
“Notwithstanding recent global economic and geopolitical challenges, survey findings tell us that Aotearoa/ NZ maintains its global reputation as an open, politically stable, and legally robust member of the Asia-Pacific group,” says James.
Key findings from the 2024 survey:
- Strong investment intentions: An overwhelming 98% of offshore investors are considering an investment in Aotearoa in the next five years, with 40% planning to invest within the next 12 months.
- Economic challenges create opportunities: New Zealand's recent economic challenges are viewed positively by investors, with 47% of survey respondents reporting an increased intention to invest due to factors such as fewer competitors, better deal sourcing, and lower target valuations.
- M&A activity expected to rise: 79% of respondents anticipate a moderate increase in overall M&A activity in New Zealand in the next 12 months. This is a distinct uplift in expectations from last year when 60% were predicting a moderate increase in activity.
- Focus on business fundamentals: Amid global economic challenges, investors are prioritising solidity of customer demand (58%) and the ability to pass on cost increases (52%) in their acquisition strategies.
- New Zealand IP in high demand: The technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sector is viewed as the most attractive for investment (58%), followed by industrials and chemicals (51%), and pharma, medical, and biotech (42%).
- Government change boosts confidence: 57% of respondents say the change in government in October 2023 has increased their intention to invest in New Zealand, with the current centre-right government perceived as being more supportive of foreign investment than the previous centre-left government.
- Mixed views on tax system: While New Zealand's tax system is generally viewed favourably, 32% of respondents consider the corporate tax rate unattractive, and 54% view settings for debt funding acquisitions negatively.
A measured investment pipeline focusing on business fundamentals
James says the survey findings are consistent with a more optimistic mood in the M&A market over the past few months, as investors look for good value acquisition targets.
“We’re seeing a trend away from more opportunistic, short-term acquisitions toward a more measured pipeline.
“It appears as though offshore purchasers are looking to acquire New Zealand businesses, not only for their relatively modest valuations, but also for the opportunities for market acquisition and inorganic growth which they represent,” says James.
Factoring in ESG
ESG factors are still considered important to investors as part of their overall investment strategy, but have slipped as a top priority from 42% in 2022 to 36% last year and 30% this year.
James says: “Once the market conditions begin to stabilise, we expect ESG considerations will once again receive greater focus from buyers.
“Notwithstanding its slippage in terms of importance in investment strategy, ESG factors are still central to M&A decision-making, with 99% of respondents rating ESG as important when considering deals.
“ESG is not just a checkbox exercise. With the growth in global ESG regulation, investors are increasingly aware of the importance of managing ESG risk if they want sustainable growth in their acquisition targets,” says James.
Local IP attractive to investors
IP Partner, Richard Watts, says: “Intellectual property portfolios can be a key driver of value in business acquisitions, and we’re seeing buyers become increasingly sophisticated in assessing the quality of IP assets in potential acquisitions.
“We’ve seen a lot of interest in IP in the biotech / pharma space, with a sharp increase in clinical trials and development. This, combined with a very active and mobile development of IT - both in the broader health sector, as well as in areas like transport and business services - has meant that investment in IP in New Zealand remains strong.
“Technology is also one of New Zealand’s largest export sectors and is continuing to grow, so it is perhaps no surprise that the sector remains of serious interest to potential investors,” says Richard.